O mpampoulas tis oikonomikis krisis kseskepazei ton alithino(?) Barack Obama

Paratirontas kaneis tin koini gnwmi den mporei para na diaisthanthei, mia oloena ki afksanomeni anisuxia twn politwn gia tin ekseliksi twn pragmatwn sto metwpo tis pagkosmias oikonomias. Anamesa se oles tis diaforetikes apopseis, teinoun na emfanizontai duo koines paradoxes. To oti afti einai I megaluteri oikonomiki krisi meta tin Megali Yfesi twn 30s ki episis oti oloi exoun strammeno to vlema stin neoeklegeisa kuvernisi twn IPA. Apo tin genneteira tis krisis perimenoun na erthei ki I lutrwsi. Tipote den einai fusika tuxaio, kathws an sto timoni tis uperdunamis paremene o allistou mnimis GW Bush, polu amfivallw an tha upirxe estw ki enas politis pou na ilpize stis kiniseis twn IPA gia eksodo tis pagkosmias oikonomias apo tin krisi. Omws, oi IPA apo ton Noemvrio –tupika apo ton Ianouario- diathetoun neo igeti sto timoni. O Barack Hussein Obama, eklextike ws o megalos anamorfwtis. I amerikaniki koinwnia, alla ki olokliri I ifilios, enapothese panw tou to –varutato omologoumenws- fortio tis gefurwsis twn xasmatwn –koinwnikwn, oikonomikwn, politikwn- pou klirodotise I oktaetia Bush, mazi kai tin elpida oti o neos proedros tha dwsei mia nea pnoi ki wthisi stin xwra gia na antimetwpisei ta oloena ki afksanomena provlimata. O Obama gnwrize oti to megalutero kai pio epeigon provlima sto opoio tha kaleito na dwsei ameses luseis, itan I oikonomiki krisi. Apo tin stigmi tis orkomwsias tou kai meta, o kainourios proedros katestise safes se olous tous tonous oti I katapolemisi tis tha einai I apoluti proteraiotita tou prwtou xronou tis diakuvernisis tou. Afto omws den simainei oti oi mexri stigmis kiniseis tou exoun apodeixthei antaksies twn prosdokiwn.
Anamfisvitita, to megalutero komati stin pita tis oikonomikis krisis to katexei o trapezikos tomeas. Ystera apo tin kratiki swtiria tis Bear Sterns tin anoiksi tou 2008 –I opoia kata pasa pithanotita apotelese kai tin arxiki spitha gia ola osa akolouthisan- kai tin ptwxefsi tis Lehman Brothers to fthinopwro, oi amerikanikes trapezes, I mia meta tin alli, deixnoun etoimes na katarrefsoun san trapouloxarta. Pagkosmioi kollossoi opws I Citigroup alla ki o asfalistikos gigantas me ta pilina podia AIG, me tis xrimatistiriakes tous aksies na tinoun stin ekmidenisi, epafiwntai pleon mono stin agkalia tou kratous gia tin epiviwsi tous. Poia einai mexri stigmis I politiki tis kuvernisis Obama ws lusi se olon afton ton kukewna? Sunexeis, stadiakes xrimatikes eneseis (cash injections) stis provlimatikes trapezes (tis evrews apokaloumenes kai zombie banks), me monadiko stoxo tin vraxuprothesmi epiviwsi tous. To gegonos oti I stratigiki tis kuvernisis den xaraktirizetai apo ena safes makroprothesmo plano, einai gia pollous analutes to simantikotero aitio tis katarrefsis tis empistosunis kai tis katholikis epikratisis tou panikou, toso metaksu twn politwn-katanalwtwn oswn kai twn agorwn. Pleon safis apodeiksi twn parapanw den tha mporouse na einai alli apo to prwtofanes katrakulisma tou xrimatistiriou tis Neas Yorkis kai pio sugkekrimena tou deikti Dow Jones, o opoios apo tis 8,280 monades pou vriskotan tin imera tis orkomwsias tou Obama, epese katw apo to psuxologiko orio twn 7,000 monadwn se ligotero apo enamisi mina kai twra xaropalevei ligo panw apo tis 6,500 me ta senaria gia peraiterw kathuzisi na kuriarxoun. Pleon, den uparxei kaneis pou na amfivalei – I krisi pou antimetwpizoume einai krisi empistosunis.

Megalos arithmos egkritwn oikonomologwn stin Ameriki, exontas thoruvithei apo tis teleftaies ekselikseis, askoun drumeia kritiki stin kuvernisi Obama gia ta mexri stigmis imimetra pou exei parei. To pleon aksioprosekto einai oti proerxontai apo olo to politiko/ideologiko fasma. Malista, orismenoi eks’aftwn –proeksarxontws tou fileleftherou prwin proedrou tis FED Alan Greenspan kai tou, prosfatws vravefthentos me Nobel, keunsianou aristerou (radical liberal) Paul Krugman (!!)- proevisan se mia anatreptiki protasi. Me apla logia, eriksan sto trapezi ws “ligotero kaki” lusi, tin proswrini kratikopoiisi twn “arrwstwn “ trapezwn, tin eksugiansi tous apo to kratos kai tin oso to dunaton taxuteri epanidiwtikopoiisi tous – o Krugman vaftise to sugkekrimeno egxeirima ws “pre-privatization”, “pro-idiwtikopoiisi”. Pantws, eite afti tha einai I lusi eite kapoia alli, den uparxei kapoios pou na min vlepei oti gia na arxisei na anastrefetai kapws I katastasi, epivalletai na parthoun metra polu pio drastika, apofasistika kai me pio makroprothesmi stoxefsi apo afta pou mexri stigmis exei parei o Obama.

Ekeino omws to opoio exei apotelesei mexri stigmis tin megaluteri apogoitefsi apo to sunolo twn kinisewn tou neou proedrou sto pedio tis oikonomias, einai I ekponisi tou prwtou tou proupologismou. Panta, o prwtos proupologismos stin thuteia enos proedrou exei isxurotato sumvoliko xaraktira kathws katadeiknuei tin katefthunsi pou stoxevei na akolouthisei oli I proedria kai thetei tous stoxous pou thelei na epituxei. Ypo atermones laikistikes fanfares ki asugastous panugurismous apo tin aristeri pteruga twn Dimokratikwn, parousiastike enas proupologismos o opoios oxi mono endeiksi prospatheias gefurwsis xasmatwn den apotelei, alla einai safestata to apofasistiko vima stin prospatheia epanaprosdiorismou tis Amerikanikis koinwnias kai twn diaxronikwn aksiwn aftis, apo mia entelws kaini vasi. Xaraktiristike efstoxa ws “to oneiro enos aristerou gia mia kainouria Nea Sumfwnia” (anafora sto rousveltiano New Deal twn 30s). To megethos tou aggizei to dusthewrito upsos twn 3.6 tris dollariwn, proupologizontai afksiseis se oles tis morfes kratikwn dapanwn plin twn amuntikogenwn ki ola afta apo enan anthrwpo pou mexri prin ligous mines dierrugnie ta imatia tou oti den pistevei sto megalutero kratos.

Vasiki stoxefsi tou proupologismou apotelei i anadianomi ploutou apo to kratos mesw drastikwn allagwn stin forologia. Afto o Obama stoxevei na to petuxei me katakorufi afksisi twn forwn gia tous plousioterous amerikanous. Lismonei omws, oti oi misoi apo tous amerikanous polites me etisio eisodima panw apo 250,000 dollaria einai idioktites mikrwn epixeirisewn. Oi teleftaioi einai aftoi pou ola afta ta xronia stiriksan tin amerikaniki oikonomia ki opoioi einai upefthunoi gia tin dimiourgia tou 90% twn newn thesewn ergasias ta teleftaia 15 xronia stis IPA. An I kuvernisi Obama pistevei oti o tropos gia na ekselthei apo tin krisi einai na afskisei ta kratika varu stous wmous twn sugkekrimenwn politwn, tote dustuxws planatai planin oiktra. Parallila, ta arithmitika dedomena kai oi provlepseis tou proupologismou mporoun na xaraktiristoun toulaxiston ws polu aisiodiksa, kathws opws egkuroi analutes episimainoun, den einai dunaton na prosdoka xrimatodotisi twn afksisewn twn kratikwn dapanwn apo tin afksisi forologias se ena 5% twn politwn kai monon.

Se ena palaiotero arthro mou, eixa anarwtithei gia to poion Obama tha vlepame sto timoni twn IPA, meta tin eklogiki tou epikratisi. Sugkekrimena, Tha einai o ideologos aristeristis i o pragmatistis metriopathis? Tha emfanistei o gerousiastis me to pio aristero katalogo psifismatwn stin gerousia pou tha thelisei ekmetallevomenos tis apolutes pliopsifies twn dimokratikwn na diasalefsei pros idion kommatiko ofelos tis isorropies tou politikou sustimatos, I o kainotomos xarismatikos politikos pou tha prospathisei na gefurwsei xasmata kai na dimiourgisei ena panethniko alla kai pagkosmio metwpo gia tin antimetwpisi twn muriwn provlimatwn. Ta mexri stigmis pepragmena tou sto oikonomiko pedio sunigoroun uper tou prwtou skelous. Kata tin proeklogiki periodo, o Obama tonize to poso polu thavmazei ton –repoublikano- proedro Reagan. O teleftaios itan aftos pou aksiopoiwntas sto epakro ta paradosiaka opla tis amerikanikis koinwnias – tin epixeirimatikotita, tin kainotomia kai tin atomiki prwtovoulia – odigise tin xwra se mia eikosaetia prwtofavnous anaptuksis. An o kainourios proedros thelei na vgalei tin xwra tou kai mazi me aftin ki olon ton kosmo apo aftin tin sovarotati krisi, tha prepei na akolouthisei akrivws afton ton dromo, ependuontas se afta akrivws ta idanika, milwntas ksana gia tous tropous me tous opoious tha odigisei ksana se troxia anaptiksis ton idiwtiko tomea kai gia to pws tha tonwsei pali tin idiwtiki prwtovoulia. Einai kairos gia tomes kai tharralea vimata pou tha dwsoun stin amerikaniki kai pagkosmia oikonomia tin apaitoumeni wthisi, ki oxi gia kontofthalmes, kairoskopikes kiniseis pou mporoun na ikanopoiisoun mono ena periorismeno kai peinasmeno gia eksousia kommatiko akroatirio. As elpisoume, oti o neos proedros tha apodeixthei antaksios twn peristasewn ki oxi apla aixmalwtos ideoologikwn kai kommatikwn agkilwsewn.